In a recent post we used a “lemonade stand” analogy that humbly attempted to describe at least one of the ways folks value financial assets. Yesterday Heidi Moore, US finance and economics editor at the Guardian, described another way to look at markets and trading. Her post on the gold selloff was instructive in regards to the short term aspects of market movements. She describes the market as “more like debates between people who are speaking with their money rather than their voices”. An inspired description!
This week we’ve seen those debates in the stock market as traders reacted to the earnings reports of various companies. The movements up and down reflect the strength of the debate as the ball is passed from Bull to Bear over the course of the week or month.
Longer term we’ll think about lemonade stands and the propensity for markets to climb based on inflationary pressures and growth in the overall economy. The Bulls seem to have the long game pretty well sewed up. But shorter term of course the plays are anything but predictable, the fans are on the edge of their seats and excitement is in the air. Enjoy the debate!